Author Archives: Fearless

The New Year Bring in a Bull Market for Gold

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Why Will 2018 See Bull Market in Gold –

The current trend gold is now showing is undeniable. Add to this fact the historical trend line that occurred after Fed raised interest rates and the only conclusion can be markets are primed for bear market in gold.

  • Gold rose eight and one-half percent (8.5%) in 2016 and then rose further twelve percent (12%);Gold had solid gains in both 2016 and 2017 this demonstrates gold. These decisive gains evidence the solid foundation gold has for bull market. Some are calling for gold reduction to $800.00 per ounce but this does not seem likely. Below we discuss why a bear market in gold seems unlikely.
  • Gains in the stock market may continue in the short term but most certainly are unsustainable and downward correction in the range of thirty percent or more are likely.
  • While it is true gold so a couple of short downturns investors should consider the long term trend gold has shown and consider the noticeable possibility of rescission, volatility and liquidity crisis.
  • Gold in the historic 1999-2011 rally started its bull run slowly, then starting in 2005 had its largest percentage gains.

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Historical Lesson ADDED TO WHY GOLD WILL SEE THE BULL MARKET

  • Fed raised interest rates on December 16, 2015, immediately after gold increased from $1,062.00 per ounce to $3,346.00 per ounce.
  • Fed again raised interest rates on December 14, 2016 and gold once again rose from $1,128.00 per ounce to $1,346.00 per ounce.
  • Finally just last month, December, 2017, the Fed raised interest rates and gold responded by rallying from $1,240.00 per ounce to $1,258.00 per ounce on December 14, 2017.

If we apply this pattern from the previous two rate hikes Gold could easily rally to $1,400.00 or $1,500.00 per ounce by summer.

– Source, James Rickards via the Daily Reckoning

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A Financial paradox

Federal Reserve and its  actions

The Federal Reserve was created in 1913 and given the mission of maintain moderate long term interest rates, price stability and full employment. In order to accomplish its task the Fed raises or lowers short term interest rates (“federal Funds” rate). It does this through open market operations. Banks must keep sufficient funds on deposit either in their institution or at the Federal Reserve Bank to meet planned and unexpected outflows. Each banks needs constantly change and when a banks reserves are not sufficient to meet its outflows then it can borrow from another bank to meet its outflows (these loans take place in “federal funds market”). The rate charged for borrowing these funds are call federal funds rate. When the amount of reserves in the federal funds market are greater than demand then federal funds rate falls. So the amount of reserves is key to the interest rate. The tool available to the Fed to affect the supply of reserves is — open market operations. The Fed buy and sells government securities (bonds).

So it is important to realize that bonds are sold to reduce or increase the money supply and not to pay obligations (debts of the US Government).

The Paradox How can Tighter money result in easier financial conditions.

It is well accepted that in order to cause inflation you need to ease financial condition, i.e., increase the money (reserve) supply and

The Fed’s goal is to  increase inflation to 2% and has spent trillions of dollars but failed to reach this meager goal.

It is also well accepted principal that tighter market is bad for the stock market;

yet:

  • The Dow is seeing levels approaching 25,000, along with new record being set every day by th S&P. Additionally, the Nasdaq is up over twenty-five percent.
  • On the other hand the global risk-free rate as determined by Bank of England is at the lowest level since the 1300’s. [i.e., the rate of return and an investment with no ( zero) risk attached to it.
  • What does Fed make of this paradox?

Mona Mahajan, strategist with Allianz, says the paradox has “been puzzling to the Fed.”                     DA

 

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Increasing Gold Rates Today and in 2018

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Explosive Annual Rise in Gold Price USD and Gold Rate Today

Gold is a safe-haven asset and portfolio diversifier

Gold has proven itself over thousands of years as a safe heaven commodity and investment. Gold is one of the best methods to diversify your portfolio.

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Disclosure: The owners of this website may be paid to recommend Regal Assets. The content on this website, including any positive reviews of Regal Assets and other reviews, may not be neutral or independent.

Fundamentals for Gold Look Great for 2018

  • -Physical Fundamentals for purchasing gold are strongest in years and continue to improve;
  • -Gold mines and refiners despite working twenty-four seven are having problems finding gold to refine. The result will be shortage of supply in 2018;
  • -Central Banks, most notably Russia India and China have been purchasing three hundred eight five tons of gold per year further draining available supplies;
  • -China has banned export of its gold production, estimated to be four hundred fifty tons removing four hundred fifty tons of gold from world supply.
    • This will also increase China’s  reserves.
  • -Privately owned bullion continues to be moving from Central Bank vaulst to private vaults;

SIMPLY PUT THIS MEANS PHYSICAL SUPPLY OF GOLD IS EXTREMLY TIGHT AND WILL GET TIGHTER

Geopolitical Issues continue to create Stability Risks

  • Geopolitical risks increase every day they include Russia, North Korea, Saudi Arabia, South China Sea and many more unforeseen risks.
  • Deteriorating relations between U.S. and Russia translate into Russia accelerating its efforts to move away from using US dollar and dollar denominated assets towards assets such as gold. The reasoning for this is simple the U.S. assets can be frozen at any time.
  • Further, Russia and China realize the advantage to the US by using a U.S. Dollar as world reserve currency and are trying to remove that advantage from world markets.
  • If war with North Korea takes place it will create great economic and social uncertainty. The economic distress will drive money to commodities especially gold;
  • Stocks are most certainly on the verge of market corrections to the downside and investors will be looking for saftey of gold;
  • Anyu calls on gold futures and ETF markets will reduce the tight gold supply. In fact a large call for gold most likely could not be meet by Central Banks. The result will be failure to deliver gold in the market.

Gold Breakout

The explosion of Gold prices appears certain don’t lose out purchase your physical gold now. The good folks at Regal Assets cans work with you to insure your golds delivery, safety and storage. All at the best price available.

Gold analyst Eddie Van Der Walt produced this ten year chart for gold price USD and Gold Rate today. As you see the gold price have converged into a small range. This range has narrowed since 2015 but most especially in 2016 and 2017. Certainly gold will not remain in this narrow band much longer and most experts suggest a breakout to the upside.

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Weakness in US Dollar will support continued rise in Gold prices

Dollar opens the new year down.

  • Ending year 2017 the US currency declined to a four month low against the Euro and stocks,
  • In 2017 the US Dollar had its largest yearly drop since 2003,
  • As a results of the decline in the US Dollar gold had a thirteen percent (13%) rise,
  • Given existing world scenario it is almost certain the US Dollar will continue its fall during 2018 increasing the demand for the safety of gold.

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Bubbles, Gold Price USD and Gold Rates Today

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Why Investing in Gold is the prudent choice

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Find out the latest Gold Price and Gold Rate Today.

 

 

 

Disclosure: The owners of this website may be paid to recommend Regal Assets. The content on this website, including any positive reviews of Regal Assets and other reviews, may not be neutral or independent.

How Does Gold Get its Value

  • Value of Gold is not only by from its use as a commodity. If that were so it would have been worthless thousands of years ago. Since gold is horded by people all over the world and used as a store of value it will always have inherent, stored  value.
  • Central Banks own and maintain very large quantities of gold and are using it to hedge against inflation and any potential crash.
  • Central banks, Russia and China are not, buying gold as speculation to make money by reselling it in a bull market. These Central Banks are buying gold to use as foreign exchange and wealth reserves. You are FREE to follow there lead and own                  ===> GOLD Regant Assets
  • The question you must ask yourself is the purpose of purchasing government bonds when the cash-flow is zero or negative. Protect you and your family’s wealth. The good folk at Regant Assets can show you how the best way to buy gold and arrange purchase delivery and storage. Imagine owning this asset you can own and hold.

Bubbles —

Investopedia describe a financial bubble as:

The term “bubble,” in the financial context, generally refers to a situation where the price for an asset exceeds its fundamental value by a large margin. During a bubble, prices for a financial asset or asset class are highly inflated, bearing little relation to the intrinsic value of the asset. The terms “asset price bubble,” “financial bubble” or “speculative bubble” are interchangeable and are often shortened simply to “bubble.” “(For a review on the South Sea Bubble, check out Crashes: The South Sea Bubble.)

[Read more: 5 Steps Of A Bubble https://www.investopedia.com/articles/stocks/10/5-steps-of-a-bubble.asp#ixzz52gIaws3N Follow us: Investopedia on Facebook]

History of Bubbles–

  • Historically, almost all bubbles burst and are followed by “crash” of the investment class or securities included in the bubble. The extent of the crash and destruction it brings is determined by many factors including the asset involved and extent of participation by investors.
  • In other words, is the asset used locally or worldwide.  Further, if participation of investors is not widespread then the damage typically remains localized.
  • The Tulip and more recent Japanese crash. When the crash came t to Japan in the 1980s it was localized and brought prolonged continuing stagnation. So in Japan the crash did not spread much beyond its countries borders.
  • In another example when the housing burst worldwide in 2008 the whole world was affected. Since, most banks and financial institutions in the US and Europe held toxic mortgage backed securities. By early 2009 the twelve largest financial institutions had lost over fifty percent of their value.

Dutch Tulip Mania

The Tulip Mania crash is the classical example of speculative bubbles. The market disconnect between the value of a tulip and price tulips being sold for in Holland in 1630s is and example of bubble and its bursting.

During this bubble demand for tulips increased and peaked at around 1637.  At his time tulips were selling for more the homes or annual income of skilled craftsmen. The tulip bubble collapsed in 1637, thereafter, tulip sold for 1/100th of their high. The devastation was terrible.

Hyman P. Minsky

Minsky in his book “Stabilizing an Unstable Economy” (1986) explained how financial instability and the economy develop. Minsky describes “five stages in a typical credit cycle – i- displacement, ii- boom, iii- euphoria, iiii- profit taking and iiiii- panic. (Source: Investopedia)

 

  1. Displacement             Investors get captivated by new investment scheme or product and begin the cycle.
  2. Boom                          Now more and more investors enter the new investment scheme and market prices rise, slowly at first then at an accelerate;
  3. Euphoria                    As prices continue to rise at even more accelerated pace caution is left behind. This is often referred to as “grater fool” theory. In this period caution is gone and price rise increase even faster.
  4. Profit Taking             In this phase you begin to see the informed investors start selling on signs that of falling values. But market falls are difficult to predict correctly as is the timing when the bubble will burst.

 John Maynard Keynes put it best when he said, “the markets can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.”

Read more: 5 Steps Of A Bubble https://www.investopedia.com/articles/stocks/10/5-steps-of-a-bubble.asp#ixzz52gVft1Wu
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  1.  Panic                          In this fifth and final stage prices reverse and as they rapidly fall most often faster then prices ascended. Now investors are faced with plunging prices and margin calls and are forced or willing to liquidate at almost any price. As an example you can look to the collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2008. The S&P500 plunge almost seventeen percent in one month and lost a staggering 9.3 trillion of its capitalization as investor stampeded to sell.
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Gold Investment News

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Informed Experts Agree a Financial Reset is Coming

Experts are predicting based on facts and evidence that the bond and stock markets will see a huge downturn in 2018.

But imagine, your gold asset will insure you have wealth and  can weather the storm. But even a Republican and financial conservative. David Stockman likes Gold. David Stockman “likes gold and silver and says those are only safe investments left”

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So what happens when stocks plunge and interest rates increase simultaneously?

The synopsis of experts prediction can be sumarized as follows:

    • Central Bank have said and most experts feel they must raise interest rates in 2018 this rate increase was evident when they raised them on December 13, 2017;
    • The Stock market is overvalued and overpriced based on fundamentals, i.e., earning and growth projections. Stocks are based on cheap money which is coming to an end in 2018.
  • Further, Central Banks will be shrinking their balance sheets in 2018 by selling an estimated six hundred billion in bonds. This will put tremendous downward pressure on prices and yields on new issue bonds, “at a time that the US will need to will be attempting to borrow $1.25 trillion more”.

David Stockman-

David Stockman was a two-term Congressman from Michigan. He was also the Director of the Office of Management and Budget under President Ronald Reagan. After leaving the White House, Stockman had a 20-year career on Wall Street. He’s the author of three books, The Triumph of Politics: Why the Reagan Revolution Failed, The Great Deformation: The Corruption of Capitalism in America and TRUMPED! A Nation on the Brink of Ruin … And How to Bring It Back. He also is founder of David Stockman’s Contra Corner and David Stockman’s Bubble Finance Trader.

Mr. Stockman says: Trump tax reform overhaul is a pipe dream, stocks are heading for 40-70% plunge

Stockman also likes gold and silver and says those are only “safe investments left.””

Pertainent portion of his articale below. Published on Dec 19, 2017 , David Stockman:

“Former Reagan White House Budget Director  David Stockman says, “The central banks realize they cannot keep printing money at these crazy rates, and by that I mean the bond buying. Now, they are going to begin to normalize and shrink their balance sheet. . . . By the fall (of 2018), they (the Federal Reserve) will be shrinking their balance sheet by $600 billion a year. What that means in plain simple English is that they (the Fed) are dumping $600 billion a year of existing bonds into the market just as Uncle Sam will be attempting to borrow $1.25 trillion more. Now, if you don’t think that is a financial collision waiting to happen, then I am not sure what would be. We are heading for a thundering collision in the bond market that will drive yields upward far more than the market is expecting. The stock market operates on the illusion of permanently low interest rates. When interest rates start to rise, everything is going to come apart because cheap debt has been priced in forever, and we are heading for far more expensive debt. . . . Bond prices are going to collapse when yields begin to rise. . . . Stock prices are going to collapse bigtime when the underlying predicate of cheap debt, massive stock buy backs and M&A deals and everything else supporting the market today finally reverses. So, we are going to have deflation in the canyons of Wall Street, and that will not be a happy day.”

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Invest in Gold -NOW-

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Today’s Markets being decimated

Currencies worldwide are being decimated and the S&P 500 is highest levels since 1929 Current levels are unsupported with earnings or production growth. “ The fact is current valuations of the S&P 500 are at extreme level, levels  we eclipsing what they were in 1929 … based on study  of valuations versus interest rates and few other things a 64% decline is coming to the S&P 500”

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Imagine you can control whether we are ready. Experts disagree on many things but most do not doubt that a crisis of historic proportions is now  upon us. There is little time to prepare and no time to waste.”  Get Regal Assets Free Investment guid and learn how and let Regal Assets show you how to:

  • Safeguard your portfolio in these rising times of economic uncertainty. Protect yourself from a declining dollar. The proven fastest way is investment in precious metals a particularly Gold.

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Mr. John Hussman

John Hyussman Ph.D., President Hussman Investment Trust postulates:

John Hussman says” look for 64% decline in “S&P 500”

 

“The fact is current valuations of the S&P 500 are at extreme level, levels we eclipsing what they were in 1929.”

“At present, the valuation measures that we find best correlated with actual subsequent S&P 500 total returns are at the most offensive levels in history, matching or eclipsing the 1929 and 2000 extremes. Even considering the level of interest rates, economic growth, and other factors, the S&P 500 currently stands about 2.8 times the level that we believe the index will revisit over the completion of the current market cycle, implying an interim market loss something on the order of -64%. Moreover, the most reliable valuation measures uniformly imply the likelihood of negative total returns in the S&P 500 over the coming 10-12 year period.”

 “To that point John Hussman’s latest commentary is a doozy. He says that based on his study of valuations versus interest rates and a few other things, he believes that a 64% decline is coming to the S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) with the expectation that the next 10-12 years will offer negative returns.”

Source Seeking Alpha

How the U.S. Dollar Has Changed

The Fed’s role

  • In an attempt to create inflation the feds have deliberately falsified interest rates, since 1987… and even more so since the panic of 2009 . In their the Fed’s have held interest rates well below market pressures and norms way to long.
  • “The Federal Reserve by manipulating and contoling the market for far too long have created a monster, that is now truly out of control. For decades they have ignored this monster. They are now waking up to realize that they have created a monster that is beyond them. Source — Peter Schiff [https://schiffblog.blogspot.com/ ]
  • Today’s Dollar is fundamentally different from what the world knew and trusted and was referred to as “real money” before 1971 (when President Nixon again severed the Dollar’s ties to gold).
  • Few realize how this unilateral action of Nixon changed the monetary system and fewer still realize what it means, today.
    • The Dollar was no longer redeemable in Gold,
    • Our monetary system went from commodity backed system to fiat system.
  • Most experts agree one major change which is fundamental is currently the Dollar anticipates wealth that may or may not come in the future, rather than wealth that was already earned in the past.
  • Stocks are anticipating future earning with no concern for past performance. Thus, America’s investors could discover that their stocks and bonds aren’t worth half of what they paid for them. As mentioned some are predicting a sixty percent (60%) drop in stock and bond prices in 2018.
  • In other words, stock and bond prices have not risen because the real economy justified them but on pure speculation.

every action has its consequences

  • The consequences is the Feds zero interest rates policies have distorted almost every price in capitalism.
  • Now in a rising-interest-rate world,

Market change

  • Recommended Books-
  • Collapse of the Dollar, Conspiracy of the Rich, Creature from Jekyll Island, Crisis by Design, Currency Wars, Game Over, Get the Skinny on Silver Investing
  • Guide to Investing in Gold & Silver, Real Wealth, Red Alert, Rich Dad Poor Dad, Sold Out After Crisis, The Intelligent Investor, The Real Crash, When Money Dies
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Gold Price and Gold Rate go up for fourth session

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Gold prices were higher on Wednesday and show no signs of falling. Reuters has reported on gold price and gold rate rise. While gold bullion gains were moderate the weaker dollar will catch up and almost certainly push gold bullion higher, as well.

Contact Regal Assets before you miss the Gold Rush

NEW YORK/LONDON, Dec 20 (Reuters) – Gold prices rose on Wednesday for a fourth straight session to reach a two-week high as U.S. data showing solid home sales but a fall in mortgage applications pushed the dollar to a two-week low.
Gains in bullion were limited, however, by a rise in U.S. bond yields to nine-month highs after the Congress passed the country’s biggest tax overhaul in decades. A weaker dollar makes gold cheaper for holders of other currencies, which can stimulate demand, but higher Treasury yields reduce the appeal of non-yielding bullion.
Source: (Recasts; updates prices; adds byline, NEW YORK dateline) By Marcy Nicholson and Peter Hobson

 

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Gold Price and Gold Rate Hold their Value

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Gold is the best Insurance Policy Against Falling Currencies

Experts continue to strongly suggest that paper currencies will fall and gold as an insurance policy is the best bet place for investors. The well-known Silver Doctors interviewed the experts at Kirby Analytics and here is what both are saying: (December 19, 2017) Imagine your financial security is at stake.  You can easlymake reality with the good folks at ==> Regal Assets

The Experts Say:

“Gold & Silver Will Trump Bitcoin As Everything Paper Burns | Rob Kirby”

“Sell your silver and gold for Bitcoin? Rob Kirby tells Silver Doctors that selling your insurance for a speculative bet is ridiculous. Here’s why…”

Rob Kirby of Kirby Analytics interviewed by Silver Doctors

“The rise of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies represent “fiat money rejection.” The big money investors see how fraudulent the monetary system is, Kirby says, and are running to an alternative. But it’s gold and silver that will rise when all else fails, he says.

Block chain technology will be applied to physical precious metals trading, Kirby predicts. In this way, an ounce of gold or silver will be able to be sold only once. These “crypto-ized” precious metals will be the “undoing of fraudulent exchanges like COMEX and the LBMA.””

Imagine your safety is secure when you own Gold.

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Gold price and Gold Rate

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Federal Reserve (Fed) raised interest rate 0.25% this week. This will leave interest rates at 1.25% to 1.50%.

At the same time the Fed comments acknowledged that inflation has actually declined last year. Janet Yellen comments indicate that Feds are not buying the Republican promise that the the tax bill will pay for itself.

Today gold hit $1,265.10.

 

USD vs. gold price

  • When the dollar falls other currencies value increases.  Consequently,  the demand for commodities including gold increases.
  • As thU.S. Dollar declines investors must look to other investmet alternatives and Gold is always one place investors look to.
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Misses Institute interviews Jim Rickards

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Misses Weekends interviws Mr. Jim Rickards

Rickards makes his case for the future and gold

Imagine You are safe as the World falls into choas

Dont’t Miss the Gold Rush — Buy Gold Now, It’s an asset you can own and hold.

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Mr. Rickards establised his case for a coming collapse with logic, evidence, facts and reason.

In order to be secure in this global, digital economy gold is one asset that will hold its value and protect you from outside controls, includeing accout freezes and confiscation. Regal Assets will not only help you purchase real gold, but will assist in arranging safe storage outside the banking system. Below is a video interview between Mises Institute and Mr. Jim Rickards…..

 

TAKE ACTION NOW DON’T BE LEFT BEHIND, REGAL ASSETS

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